Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Aren…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? 18% chance Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? 11% chance Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31? 4% chance Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31? 8% chance Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31? 32% chance Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? 55% chance Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31? 37% chance Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31? Closed Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1510 by December 31? ClosedMarket discussion
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