Which companies will the US take a stake in?
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shar…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? 22% chance
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? 70% chance
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation? 12% chance
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? 13% chance
Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.? 6% chance
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? 18% chance
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? 23% chance
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.? 8% chance
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance? 4% chance
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.? 80% chance
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC? 11% chance
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? 70% chance
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.? 10% chance
Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.? 9% chance
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company? 12% chance
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.? 19% chance
Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation? 20% chance
Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.? 11% chance
Will the US federal government take a stake in SpaceX? 10% chance
Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines? 42% chanceMarket discussion
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