Iran leadership change by...?
10 markets PoliticsIranIran RegimeGeopolitics
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longe…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Iran leadership change by December 31? 22% chance Iran leadership change by August 31? 3% chance Iran leadership change by September 30? 9% chance Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? 31% chance Iran leadership change by April 30? Closed Iran leadership change by June 30? Closed Iran leadership change by May 31? Closed Iran leadership change by March 31? Closed Iran leadership change by July 31? Closed Iran leadership change by March 13? ClosedMarket discussion
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