US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
8 markets PoliticsU.S. x IranGeopoliticsIran Ceasefire
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possess…
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Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? 9% chance US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? 5% chance US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31? 2% chance US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? Closed US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Closed US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30? Closed US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? Closed US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? ClosedMarket discussion
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