Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
4 markets TechAIChinaAirdrops
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Chinese company owns the model that has the highest arena score, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at any point between market creation and December 31, 202…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? 11% chance Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31? 98% chance Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31? 30% chance Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? 23% chanceMarket discussion
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