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French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

21 markets French ElectionElectionsGlobal ElectionsFrance

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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Ot…

Markets in this event

Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.

Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 5% chance Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 71% chance Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 12% chance Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 11% chance Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 29% chance Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 17% chance Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 65% chance Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 11% chance Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 6% chance Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 56% chance Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 13% chance Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 14% chance Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 18% chance Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 62% chance Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 11% chance Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 8% chance Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 14% chance Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 45% chance Will Marine Le Pen announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Closed Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Closed Will Gabriel Attal announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Closed

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