French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
21 markets French ElectionElectionsGlobal ElectionsFrance
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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Ot…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 5% chance
Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 71% chance
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 12% chance
Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 11% chance
Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 29% chance
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 17% chance
Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 65% chance
Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 11% chance
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 6% chance
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 56% chance
Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 13% chance
Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 14% chance
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 18% chance
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 62% chance
Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 11% chance
Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 8% chance
Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 14% chance
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? 45% chance
Will Marine Le Pen announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Closed
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Closed
Will Gabriel Attal announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? ClosedMarket discussion
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