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Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

24 markets PoliticsgerrymanderMidtermsredistrict

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have …

Markets in this event

Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.

Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 91% chance Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 6% chance Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 0% chance Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 3% chance Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 99% chance Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 13% chance Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 96% chance Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 89% chance Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 93% chance Will Maryland use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 4% chance Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 96% chance Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 3% chance Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 3% chance Will Washington use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 5% chance Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 2% chance Will Georgia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 6% chance Will Kansas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 3% chance Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 97% chance Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 3% chance Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 98% chance Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 4% chance Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 91% chance Will Tennessee use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Closed Will Mississippi use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Closed

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