Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
24 markets PoliticsgerrymanderMidtermsredistrict
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have …
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 91% chance
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 6% chance
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 0% chance
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 3% chance
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 99% chance
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 13% chance
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 96% chance
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 89% chance
Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 93% chance
Will Maryland use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 4% chance
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 96% chance
Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 3% chance
Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 3% chance
Will Washington use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 5% chance
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 2% chance
Will Georgia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 6% chance
Will Kansas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 3% chance
Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 97% chance
Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 3% chance
Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 98% chance
Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 4% chance
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? 91% chance
Will Tennessee use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Closed
Will Mississippi use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? ClosedMarket discussion
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