Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
18 markets Global ElectionsPoliticsElectionsNew Zealand Election
About
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the next New Zealand general election. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it participat…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? 38% chance Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand? 10% chance Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? 24% chance Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? 11% chance Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori + NZF? 1% chance Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + NZF? 4% chance Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + NZF? 2% chance Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT? 1% chance Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF + Maori? 0% chance Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour? 3% chance Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Maori? 3% chance Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Maori + NZF? 0% chance Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + Maori? 0% chance Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + NZF? 1% chance Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + Maori? 1% chance Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National? 0% chance Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + NZF + Maori? 1% chance Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + Labour? 2% chanceMarket discussion
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