Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August
5 markets AusEconomyWorldRBA
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This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be offici…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? 83% chance
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? 18% chance
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? 2% chance
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the August 2026 meeting? 1% chance
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the August 2026 meeting? 1% chanceMarket discussion
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