NATO x Russia military clash by...?
6 markets Trump PresidencyTrumpRussiaGeopolitics
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between September 23 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident inv…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? 28% chance NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? 11% chance NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? 18% chance NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Closed NATO x Russia military clash in 2025? Closed NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026? ClosedMarket discussion
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