Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
13 markets WeatherCultureHantavirusEbola
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise offic…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? 15% chance
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? 28% chance
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? 14% chance
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026? 28% chance
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? 67% chance
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026? 20% chance
Will India have an Ebola case in 2026? 24% chance
Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026? 34% chance
Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026? 54% chance
Will Somalia have an Ebola case in 2026? 35% chance
Will Ethiopia have an Ebola case in 2026? 49% chance
Will Nigeria have an Ebola case in 2026? 22% chance
Will Uganda have an Ebola case in 2026? ClosedMarket discussion
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