July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
6 markets ScienceWeatherGlobal Temp
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This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for July 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, …
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026? 4% chance Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026? 66% chance Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026? 21% chance Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in July 2026? 1% chance Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026? 7% chance Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026? 0% chanceMarket discussion
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