Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by August 31?
19 markets PoliticsUS-IranIran CeasefireIran
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifyi…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 28% chance Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 28% chance Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 32% chance Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 7% chance Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 18% chance Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 28% chance Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 3% chance Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 3% chance Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 6% chance Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 28% chance Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 22% chance Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 32% chance Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 5% chance Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 25% chance Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 50% chance Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 15% chance Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 41% chance Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 2% chance Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 50% chanceMarket discussion
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