Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference Votes

36 markets PoliticsElectionsmanchesterAndy Burnham

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The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election. If two candidates tie for receiving the g…

Markets in this event

Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.

Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? 98% chance

Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? 0% chance

Will Sian Astley win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? 1% chance

Will Geraldine Coggins win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? 1% chance

Will Hannah Spencer win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? 1% chance

Will Arooj Shah win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? 0% chance

Will Kate Green win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? 0% chance

Will Marlon Scott West win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? 0% chance

Will Paul Dennett win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? 0% chance

Will Nick Buckley win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? 0% chance

Will Jake Austin win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? 0% chance

Will Laura Evans win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? 0% chance

Will Richard Kilpatrick win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person E win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person F win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person G win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person H win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person I win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person J win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person K win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person L win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person M win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person N win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person O win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person P win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person Q win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person R win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person S win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person T win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person U win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person V win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person W win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person X win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person Y win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will Person Z win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

Will someone else win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? Closed

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