Closest Senate Race?
16 markets MidtermsPoliticsSenatedepec us elections
About
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Virginia have the closest Senate race in 2026? 3% chance Will Alaska have the closest Senate race in 2026? 11% chance Will Ohio (Special) have the closest Senate race in 2026? 9% chance Will Iowa have the closest Senate race in 2026? 12% chance Will Minnesota have the closest Senate race in 2026? 1% chance Will Georgia have the closest Senate race in 2026? 3% chance Will Colorado have the closest Senate race in 2026? 4% chance Will North Carolina have the closest Senate race in 2026? 3% chance Will New Hampshire have the closest Senate race in 2026? 4% chance Will Montana have the closest Senate race in 2026? 1% chance Will Maine have the closest Senate race in 2026? 16% chance Will Michigan have the closest Senate race in 2026? 17% chance Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026? 21% chance Will Nebraska have the closest Senate race in 2026? 5% chance Will Florida (Special) have the closest Senate race in 2026? 4% chance Will New Mexico have the closest Senate race in 2026? 4% chanceMarket discussion
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