Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
7 markets TrumpHormuzIranStrait of Hormuz
About
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will reso…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? 1% chance
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? 0% chance
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? 0% chance
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? 0% chance
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? 0% chance
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? 1% chance
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? ClosedMarket discussion
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