Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
22 markets GeopoliticsUK Labour LeadershipPoliticsStarmer
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This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from offi…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? 43% chance Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? 26% chance Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? 4% chance Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? 5% chance Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? 2% chance Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? 4% chance Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? 3% chance Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027? 1% chance Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? 3% chance Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? 6% chance Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? 3% chance Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? 1% chance Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? 3% chance Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? 1% chance Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? 1% chance Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? 2% chance Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? 2% chance Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? 2% chance Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027? 1% chance Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chance Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? 0% chanceMarket discussion
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