Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
2 markets GeopoliticsIranOilPolitics
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily t…
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Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? 7% chance Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? 1% chanceMarket discussion
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