2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
4 markets ScienceWeatherGlobal Temp
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This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026 versus the data points available for all other Julys on record. Note: If July 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket…
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Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? 61% chance Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? 21% chance Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? 14% chance Will July 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? 3% chanceMarket discussion
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