Clacton by-election: Margin of Victory
6 markets UKClactonPoliticsElections
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A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified elect…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? 48% chance Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%? 8% chance Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Clacton by-election? 1% chance Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? 35% chance Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%? 6% chance
Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin? 3% chanceMarket discussion
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