Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
28 markets TrumpPoliticsSBFSam bankman freid
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whet…
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? 5% chance Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? 1% chance
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? 7% chance
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? 17% chance Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? 3% chance Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? 4% chance
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? 7% chance Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? 5% chance Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? 14% chance Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? 5% chance
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027? 4% chance Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? 12% chance Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027? 2% chance Will Trump pardon Young Thug before 2027? 3% chance
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027? 3% chance Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027? 17% chance Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027? 2% chance Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027? 14% chance Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027? 6% chance Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027? 9% chance Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027? 8% chance Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027? 25% chance Will Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027? 11% chance Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027? 13% chance Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027? 23% chance
Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey before 2027? 7% chance
Will Trump pardon Andrew Tate before 2027? 3% chance Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez before 2027? 5% chanceMarket discussion
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