Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
7 markets WeatherclimateClimate Change
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This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center. This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point …
Markets in this event
Each is an independent Yes/No market — these percentages don't sum to 100%.
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? 19% chance Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers? 3% chance Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers? 19% chance Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers? 9% chance Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers? 17% chance Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers? 3% chance Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers? 17% chanceMarket discussion
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