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Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by...?
Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31? 2% Buy
Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by August 31? 67% Buy
$15.6K Vol
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...?
7%
chance
Buy Yes 7¢ Buy No 93¢
$15.7K Vol
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
37%
chance
Buy Yes 37¢ Buy No 64¢
$17.4K Vol
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?
2%
chance
Buy Yes 2¢ Buy No 98¢
$18.5K Vol
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? 1% Buy
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? 4% Buy
$19.1K Vol
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by July 31, 2026? 4% Buy
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026? 31% Buy
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026? 31% Buy
$19.4K Vol
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?
3%
chance
Buy Yes 3¢ Buy No 97¢
$19.9K Vol
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?
7%
chance
Buy Yes 7¢ Buy No 94¢
$20.1K Vol
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
14%
chance
Buy Yes 14¢ Buy No 87¢
$20.8K Vol
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31? 18% Buy
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by August 31? 55% Buy
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31? 73% Buy
$21.4K Vol
Will Russia enter Stavky by...?
44%
chance
Buy Yes 44¢ Buy No 56¢
$21.7K Vol
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in July 2026?
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026? 55% Buy
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in July 2026? 33% Buy
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in July 2026? 30% Buy
$21.8K Vol
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? 48% Buy
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31? 77% Buy
$22.0K Vol
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by...?
28%
chance
Buy Yes 28¢ Buy No 72¢
$25.5K Vol
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by July 31, 2026? 2% Buy
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? 20% Buy
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026? 13% Buy
$26.6K Vol
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? 6% Buy
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? 1% Buy
$29.6K Vol
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...?
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? 32% Buy
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? 62% Buy
$30.3K Vol
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
6%
chance
Buy Yes 6¢ Buy No 95¢
$30.9K Vol
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
6%
chance
Buy Yes 6¢ Buy No 95¢
$31.7K Vol
Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? 51% Buy
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? 19% Buy
$31.8K Vol
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by...?
49%
chance
Buy Yes 49¢ Buy No 52¢
$32.3K Vol
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
4%
chance
Buy Yes 4¢ Buy No 96¢
$35.7K Vol
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? 1% Buy
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? 6% Buy
$37.2K Vol
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?
21%
chance
Buy Yes 21¢ Buy No 80¢
$38.0K Vol
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