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2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? 3% Buy
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%? 18% Buy
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? 28% Buy
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? 6% Buy
+9 more options →
$112.4K Vol
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? 51% Buy
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? 50% Buy
$112.5K Vol
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? 43% Buy
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? 26% Buy
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? 4% Buy
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? 5% Buy
+18 more options →
$112.6K Vol
3rd Largest Company end of August?
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? 4% Buy
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? 79% Buy
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? 3% Buy
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? 5% Buy
+4 more options →
$112.8K Vol
Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by July 31?
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $13B by July 31? 0% Buy
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by July 31? 1% Buy
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by July 31? 2% Buy
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12B by July 31? 1% Buy
+5 more options →
$113.0K Vol
Zambia Presidential Election Winner
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? 88% Buy
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? 11% Buy
Will Fred M'membe win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? 0% Buy
$113.2K Vol
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
5%
chance
Buy Yes 5¢ Buy No 96¢
$113.6K Vol
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
12%
chance
Buy Yes 12¢ Buy No 89¢
$113.8K Vol
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? 70% Buy
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? 26% Buy
Will Eduardo Girão win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? 1% Buy
Will Capitão Wagner win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? 0% Buy
+2 more options →
$114.0K Vol
NATO dissolves before 2027?
3%
chance
Buy Yes 3¢ Buy No 97¢
$114.0K Vol
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? 43% Buy
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? 56% Buy
$114.0K Vol
Theo FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? 57% Buy
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? 22% Buy
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? 8% Buy
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch? 7% Buy
$115.2K Vol
Serie A: Team to qualify for UEFA Conference League
97%
chance
Buy Yes 97¢ Buy No 3¢
$115.9K Vol
MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? 84% Buy
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? 16% Buy
Will Anthony Carbonaro be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? 0% Buy
Will Nazmul Hassan be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? 0% Buy
+1 more options →
$116.0K Vol
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1%
chance
Buy Yes 1¢ Buy No 99¢
$116.0K Vol
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
12%
chance
Buy Yes 12¢ Buy No 89¢
$116.1K Vol
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? 11% Buy
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by July 31? 0% Buy
$116.1K Vol
NBA: 2027 Eastern Conference Champion
Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? 22% Buy
Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? 10% Buy
Will the Washington Wizards be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? 5% Buy
Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? 21% Buy
+11 more options →
$116.2K Vol
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
8%
chance
Buy Yes 8¢ Buy No 93¢
$116.3K Vol
What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in July 2026?
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in July? 1% Buy
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 in July? 0% Buy
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 in July? 11% Buy
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in July? 2% Buy
+7 more options →
$116.4K Vol
FL-01 House Election Winner
Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat? 96% Buy
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat? 5% Buy
$116.5K Vol
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
54%
chance
Buy Mayweather 54¢ Buy Pacquiao 47¢
$116.6K Vol
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? 9% Buy
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? 91% Buy
$116.9K Vol
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? 11% Buy
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31? 98% Buy
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31? 30% Buy
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? 23% Buy
$117.4K Vol